All posts

"It's a terrible thing that we made"

It’s good when things are bad


AI vs. AGI vs. Consciousness vs. Super-intelligence vs. Agency

Fragile passengers

Will training data matter anymore for self-driving cars?

Two things have changed since 1990

What’s in and out for 2023

My experience Wednesday in SF

I forgot my laptop

My Kindle is dead

Decentralization is a narrative mirage.

Dark and dirty dorm rooms

Four years ago

Inside every brown take-out bag…

Acting like a Github recruiter

Radio, SF, and cultural stopgaps

Can I smell as well as a bloodhound?

Tailwind saved me from a coding ice age

Bierstadt and breakfast

Big vision, little start

Avoiding a bad day

2020 > 1924

The Needles, Canyonlands

To the next chapter

Unlearning school

Surprises generate smiles.

Shared Lyft to Dunkin’ Donuts

Pascal’s Scam

New one-mile PR

Personality is the force majeure of the internet.

“All You Need To Know”

Birds, Planes, And COVID’s Chokepoint

Don’t Judge a Substack By Its Cover

Timezones, power-ranked: Mountain, Central, Pacific, Eastern

Restaurant Revenue and Goodhart’s Law

Long email signatures

The High-Frequency-Trading Of News

Google blew a ten-year lead.

Picky Eaters, Philanderers, and Hamlet

Birmingham’s Original Sin

The coffee doesn’t taste any good.

I Am Nothing and Also Something

Stay, leave, or create a hacker house?


What if I run out of things to say?

Patio11’s Law

The “Damned If You Do, Damned If You Don’t” Fallacy

I was tricked into thinking I had “grit”

Shaving and being human

Seatbelts and falling out of a Ford station wagon

Charlie Munger is slowly warming up to Elon Musk

Running, one year apart

Fruit flies and climate change

Bill’s Guide To Bread

Narrow band of intelligence

Learning to love (monitors) again

“Hey Alexa, Pause The Economy”


~2,412 people in the U.S. have SARS-CoV-2 (as of 3/5/2020)

Working from home

Almost out of stock

The more “important,” the more engaging

Trekking in Kyrgyzstan

Being prolific

Constraints breed more than creativity

Will negative interest rates lead to Marxism?

Cocktail Party Entrepreneurs

“I Exist”

Organizing my thoughts

Bars need competition in order to get crowds

F-150 Mile Equivalents, “FME’s”

“The average American changes their healthcare plan every 2.7 years.”

“How did the human cross the road?”

From Idaho to Mars

Union Square

“It’s Vulnerability, Stupid”

Just enough to get into trouble, not enough to avoid disaster

Side hustle

It’s too late to collect sand

Everybody already knows

“Down” Market

“It’s Voluntary”

Inventions are memes

“I’ll finish that tonight.”

AIM and Identity

Annualized expenses.

Cigarettes, scotch, company, writing, and conversation

Hitchens in North Beach

E-commerce and iCommerce

The Efficient Market Hypothesis and equities

Fermentation Station

Where Are The Engineer’s Mansions?

Lyndon Johnson nearly killed himself running for his first Congressional seat when he was 28 years old.

Day 1

Munger, on Trump


This morning I was walking down Divisadero.

Google Search Is Dead (8 years later)



“When a supernova explodes, the blast wave creates high-energy particles that scatter in every direction; scientists believe there is a minute chance that one of the errant particles known, as a cosmic ray, can hit a computer chip on Earth, flipping a


Why isn’t the trade war a bipartisan issue?

“All The News That’s Fit To Print”


Last month, outside of JFK, Elizabeth commented, “No smoking sign… but it smells like smoke.


“10 Simple Truths”

On Clouds, Since August

Nashville, 2 years apart

Morgantown to Pittsburgh

360° of Mt. Cook

Just Walk Out

Eating in Mt. Cook National Park

Screaming vs. Subtle

The Destruction Index

Guns, Germs and Sweat

Surfing and coffee

Turtles, All The Way Down

Outsite in Canggu, Bali, Indonesia


Fall, Winter, Summer

“The demand curve slopes downward”

The end of status


Birds and buses to BHM



Steve Martin

7,830 miles

Scrolling and scrolling and scrolling

Mr. Singh

Not Pictured

Chinese hotspot, made for an Indian network, unlocked in Laos, for worldwide internet

Goodbye, Pai

Motorbiking in Pai

Around the world in 80 hostels

Big blue dog

Monk Chats

“I did Chiang Mai” Pet Peeve

Mental Model: Chokepoints

Hiking to Nalan, a remote ethnic hill tribe.

Things I wish existed while I’ve been traveling

The “Roadside Motel” Bill

Province Tax

“The bridge is broken”

Hike up to the Nong Kiaw Viewpoint

Munger, Wal-mart, and Louis C.K.

Exploring Vang Vieng, Laos

Driving in Laos

“For The Gram”


Great leaders speak plainly

Consistency Is Underrated

How, Cambodia?

Efficient Market Hypothesis

Ken’s Artisan Pizza - Portland, OR


“Side Effects May Include”



Brown Line to Kimball

Fewer people moving and taking risks

Sourdough, June 2018 Vintage

“Can you imagine?”

The Wall, The Crawl, and the Courtyard

“Yeah, no, […]

On Leaving Cities

Unknown knowns1 and the Gell-Mann Amnesia effect

Users hate software.

Stories, by Steven Pinker

Greg LeMond

Chicago river at 1am


“A little bit of slope makes up for a lot of y-intercept” - John Ousterhout